One of the big problems during the financial crisis was a bank run in the shadow banking system when doubts emerged about the safety of deposits.
In my last column at the Fiscal Times, I talked about an approach to solving the problem that involves having deposits in the shadow system backed (insured) by high quality collateral.
But high quality collateral is not the only option. Another way to do this is through a type of insurance along the lines of what the FDIC does for the traditional banking system, along with restrictions on eligibility for the insurance. In reaction to my column, and in support of the insurance approach, Morgan Ricks of Harvard Law School emails:
I enjoyed your Fiscal Times piece and am glad you're focused on this issue.
I'm a big admirer of Gary and Andrew's work, but I would encourage you to give some more thought to whether collateral requirements for repo are likely to do the trick. Here are a few things to consider:
- Many of the short-term liabilities of the shadow banking system were and are uncollateralized (think about Lehman's reliance on unsecured commercial paper -- the default of which caused the Reserve Fund to "break the buck," igniting the run on money market funds; and Citigroup's SIVs, which financed themselves in the unsecured markets).
- Money market investors do not want to take possession of collateral and dispose of it. Even if the collateral is high quality, they don't want the interest rate risk. That's not their business. They don't want to deal with the consequences of a counterparty default. This is why, in the crisis, many money market investors stopped rolling even those repos that were fully secured by Treasuries and agencies:
- See Chris Cox's testimony on Bear Stearns (here http://www.sec.gov/news/testimony/2008/ts040308cc.htm): "For the first time, a major investment bank that was well-capitalized and apparently fully liquid experienced a crisis of confidence that denied it not only unsecured financing, but short-term secured financing, even when the collateral consisted of agency securities with a market value in excess of the funds to be borrowed"
- See also FRBNY's repo task force report (here http://www.newyorkfed.org/prc/report_100517.pdf): “Discussions in the Task Force emphasized repeatedly that many Cash Investors focus primarily if not almost exclusively on counterparty concerns and that they will withdraw secured funding on the same or very similar timeframes as they would withdraw unsecured funding.”
- Even if collateral requirements reduce the likelihood of runs, how do we calibrate them -- what is the objective function? Presumably we think maturity transformation (fractional reserve banking) is a good thing -- it increases the supply of loanable funds by pooling otherwise idle cash reserves and deploying them toward productive investments. Risk constraints (such as collateral requirements) necessarily reduce this surplus -- there is a real social cost. How do we appraise the corresponding benefit? That is, how do we estimate the systemic instability associated with any given level of collateral requirements? My argument is that we can't. And by "we" I mean not just the government, but anybody.
My paper argues that we avoid these problems with an insurance regime; that financial firms outside the insurance regime should be disallowed from conducting maturity transformation (i.e., they would have to rely on term funding, not money market funding); and that we should develop functional criteria of eligibility for the insurance regime. (By the way, this is not the same thing as "extending" insurance to shadow banks.)
Anyway, these are things worth thinking about. I think the insurance approach needs more serious consideration than it has received -- it's a little lonely over here ...
Best,
Morgan Ricks
See here for nice summary of this approach and link to the underlying academic paper.
Submitted by Options Trading Signals
Learn How Out-of-the-Money Butterflies Create Profits Trading SPX
Over the past few weeks the broad stock market has seemingly grown
increasingly more bullish. Market pundits, traders, and even high
profile money managers are stating publicly that the easy trade over the
next few years will simply be being long high quality stocks. While
time may prove these managers wise, it is likely a bit early to be that
bullish.
As a trader, our job is to create profits consistently regardless of
price action. The best traders are masters of blocking out the noise and
emotion, and letting various forms of data guide their decision making.
At this point in time the bulls have the bears pushed against key
resistance at the SPX 1150 area. However, the bears have their eyes set
on the 1130 level and from there the key SPX 1040 support area.
If the S&P 500 breaks out over the 1150 area with strong volume
we could move higher to test recent highs; however, if the 1040 area
were to give way to the bears the bullish parade would end. At this
point in time, it is too early to tell which side is going to win this
battle. The monthly chart of SPX tells the entire story.
Until proven otherwise, my bias is to the downside. What might
surprise most readers is the reasoning behind my thinking. My
expectation of lower prices has nothing to do with macro economic
conditions, it has nothing to do with unprecedented intervention that we
have witnessed by the United States federal government, and it has
nothing to do with housing numbers. The reasoning behind potentially
lower prices is simple, defined risk. The SPX chart above and even the
daily chart listed below are both indicative that the SPX 1150 area is a
critical psychological level for market participants. We are literally
at a precipice right here, right now.
When major resistance or support is very near the current spot price
of any underlying, typically low risk/reward setups can be found. After
spinning through several ideas and option strategies, an out of the
money butterfly spread seemingly made a lot of sense. The out of the
money butterfly spread would benefit from the passage of time and would
not be as exposed to a comeuppance in volatility. This strategy could
produce a great potential return for a defined amount of risk.
After some brief analysis, the best proxy was using the Spider ETF
SPY as opposed to the SPX index. The bid/ask spreads are quite wide on
SPX at times, particularly when volatility is rising. Consequently, it
can be arduous to get decent fills from the SPX market makers in rapidly
moving market conditions which seem to be the norm recently. Besides
the normal option expiration on monthly or quarterly basis, options that
expire every week have grown in popularity recently. A primary reason
why volumes have exploded is due to the weekly expirations routine
offering of unbelievable risk/reward setups, particularly through the
utilization of Theta (time) decay trading setups.
After running through various expiration dates, it made since to
utilize the October weekly options that expire on Friday, October 8.
Since I have a bias to the downside, I used an out of the money put
butterfly. Traditional butterflies are typically written where the
current price is straddled by the wings of the butterfly spread. In an
out of the money butterfly, an option trader places the entire position
out of the money. It helps reduce the cost of the butterfly, and because
the option contracts are out of the money, they are not impacted as
harshly by rising volatility. In addition, these out of the money
butterflies usually have very attractive risk/reward characteristics.
SPY was trading around $114.13/share at the close on Thursday, so the
out of the money butterfly I constructed had the following strikes:
Long 1 OCT WKLY. SPY 108 Put / Short 2 OCT WKLY. SPY 111 Puts / Long 1
OCT WKLY. SPY 114 Put. Here is a snapshot of the SPY October weekly
option chain as of the close Thursday:
The Thursday closing option prices are as follows for the butterfly
mentioned above: SPY 108 Put = $18/contract; SPY 111 Put = $37/contract;
SPY 114 Put = $127/contract. The total cost to place the out of the
money SPY weekly put butterfly would have been $71 per side (not
including commissions). The maximum gain at expiration on this trade
would be a close at $111/share on SPY and it would produce a profit
around $225 (not including commission).
Clearly we would not expect to achieve the maximum gain, but this
trade would produce a profit if SPY closed between $108.70/share and
$113.30/share at expiration (October 8). The profitability chart is
below; keep in mind that the red line is the valuation at expiration and
the white line would be the profit based on that particular day.
Obviously market conditions throughout the trading day Friday and
next week will alter the prices and implied volatility of this trade.
This should not be viewed as a trade that should be taken, but an
example of what kind of returns are possible for option traders that
want to use out of the butterflies with a directional bias.
The most exciting thing about a trade like this is that the trader
can crisply define his/her risk. When the maximum risk is a specified
amount, managing risk becomes almost arbitrary. A trader simply
determines how much he/she is willing to risk/lose, and simply places
the trade. A mere $142 risk could produce a potential profit well over
$450! Keep in mind, that should price move within the confines of the
outer strikes (wings) of the butterfly, it might make sense to take
profits depending on the size of a trader’s position. Typically I like
to take profits once price action has produced a gain of 10-20%
depending on market conditions, time frame, and the strategy that I am
using. After taking profits, I typically utilize contingent stop orders
for the remainder of my position and manage it accordingly.
There are additional manipulations that could be made if price looked
like it were going to break below the 108 strike level that would allow
this trade to either remain essentially flat or potentially profit even
more. Additionally, a similar trade using calls could be placed using
the weekly call strikes 115/118/121 for a trader who was bullish.
Regardless of a trader’s directional bias, the beauty of options is not
only their ability to produce setups where risk is clearly defined, but
the potential to manipulate a position in real time allows for
fluctuations in price action or market conditions.
As for the direction of the market, who knows what the next six
trading sessions will bring. Sometimes not trading is the best trade,
but if you absolutely feel you must have some exposure, keep positions
small, risk exposure tight, and do not hesitate to take profits – easier
trades lie ahead.
bench craft company reviews
Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
benchcraft company scam
One of the big problems during the financial crisis was a bank run in the shadow banking system when doubts emerged about the safety of deposits.
In my last column at the Fiscal Times, I talked about an approach to solving the problem that involves having deposits in the shadow system backed (insured) by high quality collateral.
But high quality collateral is not the only option. Another way to do this is through a type of insurance along the lines of what the FDIC does for the traditional banking system, along with restrictions on eligibility for the insurance. In reaction to my column, and in support of the insurance approach, Morgan Ricks of Harvard Law School emails:
I enjoyed your Fiscal Times piece and am glad you're focused on this issue.
I'm a big admirer of Gary and Andrew's work, but I would encourage you to give some more thought to whether collateral requirements for repo are likely to do the trick. Here are a few things to consider:
- Many of the short-term liabilities of the shadow banking system were and are uncollateralized (think about Lehman's reliance on unsecured commercial paper -- the default of which caused the Reserve Fund to "break the buck," igniting the run on money market funds; and Citigroup's SIVs, which financed themselves in the unsecured markets).
- Money market investors do not want to take possession of collateral and dispose of it. Even if the collateral is high quality, they don't want the interest rate risk. That's not their business. They don't want to deal with the consequences of a counterparty default. This is why, in the crisis, many money market investors stopped rolling even those repos that were fully secured by Treasuries and agencies:
- See Chris Cox's testimony on Bear Stearns (here http://www.sec.gov/news/testimony/2008/ts040308cc.htm): "For the first time, a major investment bank that was well-capitalized and apparently fully liquid experienced a crisis of confidence that denied it not only unsecured financing, but short-term secured financing, even when the collateral consisted of agency securities with a market value in excess of the funds to be borrowed"
- See also FRBNY's repo task force report (here http://www.newyorkfed.org/prc/report_100517.pdf): “Discussions in the Task Force emphasized repeatedly that many Cash Investors focus primarily if not almost exclusively on counterparty concerns and that they will withdraw secured funding on the same or very similar timeframes as they would withdraw unsecured funding.”
- Even if collateral requirements reduce the likelihood of runs, how do we calibrate them -- what is the objective function? Presumably we think maturity transformation (fractional reserve banking) is a good thing -- it increases the supply of loanable funds by pooling otherwise idle cash reserves and deploying them toward productive investments. Risk constraints (such as collateral requirements) necessarily reduce this surplus -- there is a real social cost. How do we appraise the corresponding benefit? That is, how do we estimate the systemic instability associated with any given level of collateral requirements? My argument is that we can't. And by "we" I mean not just the government, but anybody.
My paper argues that we avoid these problems with an insurance regime; that financial firms outside the insurance regime should be disallowed from conducting maturity transformation (i.e., they would have to rely on term funding, not money market funding); and that we should develop functional criteria of eligibility for the insurance regime. (By the way, this is not the same thing as "extending" insurance to shadow banks.)
Anyway, these are things worth thinking about. I think the insurance approach needs more serious consideration than it has received -- it's a little lonely over here ...
Best,
Morgan Ricks
See here for nice summary of this approach and link to the underlying academic paper.
Submitted by Options Trading Signals
Learn How Out-of-the-Money Butterflies Create Profits Trading SPX
Over the past few weeks the broad stock market has seemingly grown
increasingly more bullish. Market pundits, traders, and even high
profile money managers are stating publicly that the easy trade over the
next few years will simply be being long high quality stocks. While
time may prove these managers wise, it is likely a bit early to be that
bullish.
As a trader, our job is to create profits consistently regardless of
price action. The best traders are masters of blocking out the noise and
emotion, and letting various forms of data guide their decision making.
At this point in time the bulls have the bears pushed against key
resistance at the SPX 1150 area. However, the bears have their eyes set
on the 1130 level and from there the key SPX 1040 support area.
If the S&P 500 breaks out over the 1150 area with strong volume
we could move higher to test recent highs; however, if the 1040 area
were to give way to the bears the bullish parade would end. At this
point in time, it is too early to tell which side is going to win this
battle. The monthly chart of SPX tells the entire story.
Until proven otherwise, my bias is to the downside. What might
surprise most readers is the reasoning behind my thinking. My
expectation of lower prices has nothing to do with macro economic
conditions, it has nothing to do with unprecedented intervention that we
have witnessed by the United States federal government, and it has
nothing to do with housing numbers. The reasoning behind potentially
lower prices is simple, defined risk. The SPX chart above and even the
daily chart listed below are both indicative that the SPX 1150 area is a
critical psychological level for market participants. We are literally
at a precipice right here, right now.
When major resistance or support is very near the current spot price
of any underlying, typically low risk/reward setups can be found. After
spinning through several ideas and option strategies, an out of the
money butterfly spread seemingly made a lot of sense. The out of the
money butterfly spread would benefit from the passage of time and would
not be as exposed to a comeuppance in volatility. This strategy could
produce a great potential return for a defined amount of risk.
After some brief analysis, the best proxy was using the Spider ETF
SPY as opposed to the SPX index. The bid/ask spreads are quite wide on
SPX at times, particularly when volatility is rising. Consequently, it
can be arduous to get decent fills from the SPX market makers in rapidly
moving market conditions which seem to be the norm recently. Besides
the normal option expiration on monthly or quarterly basis, options that
expire every week have grown in popularity recently. A primary reason
why volumes have exploded is due to the weekly expirations routine
offering of unbelievable risk/reward setups, particularly through the
utilization of Theta (time) decay trading setups.
After running through various expiration dates, it made since to
utilize the October weekly options that expire on Friday, October 8.
Since I have a bias to the downside, I used an out of the money put
butterfly. Traditional butterflies are typically written where the
current price is straddled by the wings of the butterfly spread. In an
out of the money butterfly, an option trader places the entire position
out of the money. It helps reduce the cost of the butterfly, and because
the option contracts are out of the money, they are not impacted as
harshly by rising volatility. In addition, these out of the money
butterflies usually have very attractive risk/reward characteristics.
SPY was trading around $114.13/share at the close on Thursday, so the
out of the money butterfly I constructed had the following strikes:
Long 1 OCT WKLY. SPY 108 Put / Short 2 OCT WKLY. SPY 111 Puts / Long 1
OCT WKLY. SPY 114 Put. Here is a snapshot of the SPY October weekly
option chain as of the close Thursday:
The Thursday closing option prices are as follows for the butterfly
mentioned above: SPY 108 Put = $18/contract; SPY 111 Put = $37/contract;
SPY 114 Put = $127/contract. The total cost to place the out of the
money SPY weekly put butterfly would have been $71 per side (not
including commissions). The maximum gain at expiration on this trade
would be a close at $111/share on SPY and it would produce a profit
around $225 (not including commission).
Clearly we would not expect to achieve the maximum gain, but this
trade would produce a profit if SPY closed between $108.70/share and
$113.30/share at expiration (October 8). The profitability chart is
below; keep in mind that the red line is the valuation at expiration and
the white line would be the profit based on that particular day.
Obviously market conditions throughout the trading day Friday and
next week will alter the prices and implied volatility of this trade.
This should not be viewed as a trade that should be taken, but an
example of what kind of returns are possible for option traders that
want to use out of the butterflies with a directional bias.
The most exciting thing about a trade like this is that the trader
can crisply define his/her risk. When the maximum risk is a specified
amount, managing risk becomes almost arbitrary. A trader simply
determines how much he/she is willing to risk/lose, and simply places
the trade. A mere $142 risk could produce a potential profit well over
$450! Keep in mind, that should price move within the confines of the
outer strikes (wings) of the butterfly, it might make sense to take
profits depending on the size of a trader’s position. Typically I like
to take profits once price action has produced a gain of 10-20%
depending on market conditions, time frame, and the strategy that I am
using. After taking profits, I typically utilize contingent stop orders
for the remainder of my position and manage it accordingly.
There are additional manipulations that could be made if price looked
like it were going to break below the 108 strike level that would allow
this trade to either remain essentially flat or potentially profit even
more. Additionally, a similar trade using calls could be placed using
the weekly call strikes 115/118/121 for a trader who was bullish.
Regardless of a trader’s directional bias, the beauty of options is not
only their ability to produce setups where risk is clearly defined, but
the potential to manipulate a position in real time allows for
fluctuations in price action or market conditions.
As for the direction of the market, who knows what the next six
trading sessions will bring. Sometimes not trading is the best trade,
but if you absolutely feel you must have some exposure, keep positions
small, risk exposure tight, and do not hesitate to take profits – easier
trades lie ahead.
benchcraft company portland or
Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
bench craft company reviews
bench craft company reviews
benchcraft company scam
Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
benchcraft company portland or
One of the big problems during the financial crisis was a bank run in the shadow banking system when doubts emerged about the safety of deposits.
In my last column at the Fiscal Times, I talked about an approach to solving the problem that involves having deposits in the shadow system backed (insured) by high quality collateral.
But high quality collateral is not the only option. Another way to do this is through a type of insurance along the lines of what the FDIC does for the traditional banking system, along with restrictions on eligibility for the insurance. In reaction to my column, and in support of the insurance approach, Morgan Ricks of Harvard Law School emails:
I enjoyed your Fiscal Times piece and am glad you're focused on this issue.
I'm a big admirer of Gary and Andrew's work, but I would encourage you to give some more thought to whether collateral requirements for repo are likely to do the trick. Here are a few things to consider:
- Many of the short-term liabilities of the shadow banking system were and are uncollateralized (think about Lehman's reliance on unsecured commercial paper -- the default of which caused the Reserve Fund to "break the buck," igniting the run on money market funds; and Citigroup's SIVs, which financed themselves in the unsecured markets).
- Money market investors do not want to take possession of collateral and dispose of it. Even if the collateral is high quality, they don't want the interest rate risk. That's not their business. They don't want to deal with the consequences of a counterparty default. This is why, in the crisis, many money market investors stopped rolling even those repos that were fully secured by Treasuries and agencies:
- See Chris Cox's testimony on Bear Stearns (here http://www.sec.gov/news/testimony/2008/ts040308cc.htm): "For the first time, a major investment bank that was well-capitalized and apparently fully liquid experienced a crisis of confidence that denied it not only unsecured financing, but short-term secured financing, even when the collateral consisted of agency securities with a market value in excess of the funds to be borrowed"
- See also FRBNY's repo task force report (here http://www.newyorkfed.org/prc/report_100517.pdf): “Discussions in the Task Force emphasized repeatedly that many Cash Investors focus primarily if not almost exclusively on counterparty concerns and that they will withdraw secured funding on the same or very similar timeframes as they would withdraw unsecured funding.”
- Even if collateral requirements reduce the likelihood of runs, how do we calibrate them -- what is the objective function? Presumably we think maturity transformation (fractional reserve banking) is a good thing -- it increases the supply of loanable funds by pooling otherwise idle cash reserves and deploying them toward productive investments. Risk constraints (such as collateral requirements) necessarily reduce this surplus -- there is a real social cost. How do we appraise the corresponding benefit? That is, how do we estimate the systemic instability associated with any given level of collateral requirements? My argument is that we can't. And by "we" I mean not just the government, but anybody.
My paper argues that we avoid these problems with an insurance regime; that financial firms outside the insurance regime should be disallowed from conducting maturity transformation (i.e., they would have to rely on term funding, not money market funding); and that we should develop functional criteria of eligibility for the insurance regime. (By the way, this is not the same thing as "extending" insurance to shadow banks.)
Anyway, these are things worth thinking about. I think the insurance approach needs more serious consideration than it has received -- it's a little lonely over here ...
Best,
Morgan Ricks
See here for nice summary of this approach and link to the underlying academic paper.
Submitted by Options Trading Signals
Learn How Out-of-the-Money Butterflies Create Profits Trading SPX
Over the past few weeks the broad stock market has seemingly grown
increasingly more bullish. Market pundits, traders, and even high
profile money managers are stating publicly that the easy trade over the
next few years will simply be being long high quality stocks. While
time may prove these managers wise, it is likely a bit early to be that
bullish.
As a trader, our job is to create profits consistently regardless of
price action. The best traders are masters of blocking out the noise and
emotion, and letting various forms of data guide their decision making.
At this point in time the bulls have the bears pushed against key
resistance at the SPX 1150 area. However, the bears have their eyes set
on the 1130 level and from there the key SPX 1040 support area.
If the S&P 500 breaks out over the 1150 area with strong volume
we could move higher to test recent highs; however, if the 1040 area
were to give way to the bears the bullish parade would end. At this
point in time, it is too early to tell which side is going to win this
battle. The monthly chart of SPX tells the entire story.
Until proven otherwise, my bias is to the downside. What might
surprise most readers is the reasoning behind my thinking. My
expectation of lower prices has nothing to do with macro economic
conditions, it has nothing to do with unprecedented intervention that we
have witnessed by the United States federal government, and it has
nothing to do with housing numbers. The reasoning behind potentially
lower prices is simple, defined risk. The SPX chart above and even the
daily chart listed below are both indicative that the SPX 1150 area is a
critical psychological level for market participants. We are literally
at a precipice right here, right now.
When major resistance or support is very near the current spot price
of any underlying, typically low risk/reward setups can be found. After
spinning through several ideas and option strategies, an out of the
money butterfly spread seemingly made a lot of sense. The out of the
money butterfly spread would benefit from the passage of time and would
not be as exposed to a comeuppance in volatility. This strategy could
produce a great potential return for a defined amount of risk.
After some brief analysis, the best proxy was using the Spider ETF
SPY as opposed to the SPX index. The bid/ask spreads are quite wide on
SPX at times, particularly when volatility is rising. Consequently, it
can be arduous to get decent fills from the SPX market makers in rapidly
moving market conditions which seem to be the norm recently. Besides
the normal option expiration on monthly or quarterly basis, options that
expire every week have grown in popularity recently. A primary reason
why volumes have exploded is due to the weekly expirations routine
offering of unbelievable risk/reward setups, particularly through the
utilization of Theta (time) decay trading setups.
After running through various expiration dates, it made since to
utilize the October weekly options that expire on Friday, October 8.
Since I have a bias to the downside, I used an out of the money put
butterfly. Traditional butterflies are typically written where the
current price is straddled by the wings of the butterfly spread. In an
out of the money butterfly, an option trader places the entire position
out of the money. It helps reduce the cost of the butterfly, and because
the option contracts are out of the money, they are not impacted as
harshly by rising volatility. In addition, these out of the money
butterflies usually have very attractive risk/reward characteristics.
SPY was trading around $114.13/share at the close on Thursday, so the
out of the money butterfly I constructed had the following strikes:
Long 1 OCT WKLY. SPY 108 Put / Short 2 OCT WKLY. SPY 111 Puts / Long 1
OCT WKLY. SPY 114 Put. Here is a snapshot of the SPY October weekly
option chain as of the close Thursday:
The Thursday closing option prices are as follows for the butterfly
mentioned above: SPY 108 Put = $18/contract; SPY 111 Put = $37/contract;
SPY 114 Put = $127/contract. The total cost to place the out of the
money SPY weekly put butterfly would have been $71 per side (not
including commissions). The maximum gain at expiration on this trade
would be a close at $111/share on SPY and it would produce a profit
around $225 (not including commission).
Clearly we would not expect to achieve the maximum gain, but this
trade would produce a profit if SPY closed between $108.70/share and
$113.30/share at expiration (October 8). The profitability chart is
below; keep in mind that the red line is the valuation at expiration and
the white line would be the profit based on that particular day.
Obviously market conditions throughout the trading day Friday and
next week will alter the prices and implied volatility of this trade.
This should not be viewed as a trade that should be taken, but an
example of what kind of returns are possible for option traders that
want to use out of the butterflies with a directional bias.
The most exciting thing about a trade like this is that the trader
can crisply define his/her risk. When the maximum risk is a specified
amount, managing risk becomes almost arbitrary. A trader simply
determines how much he/she is willing to risk/lose, and simply places
the trade. A mere $142 risk could produce a potential profit well over
$450! Keep in mind, that should price move within the confines of the
outer strikes (wings) of the butterfly, it might make sense to take
profits depending on the size of a trader’s position. Typically I like
to take profits once price action has produced a gain of 10-20%
depending on market conditions, time frame, and the strategy that I am
using. After taking profits, I typically utilize contingent stop orders
for the remainder of my position and manage it accordingly.
There are additional manipulations that could be made if price looked
like it were going to break below the 108 strike level that would allow
this trade to either remain essentially flat or potentially profit even
more. Additionally, a similar trade using calls could be placed using
the weekly call strikes 115/118/121 for a trader who was bullish.
Regardless of a trader’s directional bias, the beauty of options is not
only their ability to produce setups where risk is clearly defined, but
the potential to manipulate a position in real time allows for
fluctuations in price action or market conditions.
As for the direction of the market, who knows what the next six
trading sessions will bring. Sometimes not trading is the best trade,
but if you absolutely feel you must have some exposure, keep positions
small, risk exposure tight, and do not hesitate to take profits – easier
trades lie ahead.
bench craft company reviews
benchcraft company portland or
Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
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Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
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Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
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Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
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Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
benchcraft company scam
Making money with books is very possible and profitable if you know what you are doing,and what you want to achieve. SO...If you want to make money with books/using books then here are a few ideas and suggestions to get you started:
1.Buy and sell used books -Make money by buying and selling used books, you could sell the books on as wholesale or as retail/individually. Sell through word of mouth, networking and in your local press and media.
2.Be a bookfinder - this is whereby you find and source books out for individuals, businesses or both. You find the book or books in question and then earn a sourcing fee for your hard work. How about advertising your services and charges in your local press and media and seeing how it goes.
3.Become freelance bookseller - For example you could work for independent book stores, book shops, small publishers and so on. Earn commission on every order you win or every sale you make . P.S there is nothing stopping you from being a bookseller for more than one company, unless of course you are tied into a deal or arrangement that states otherwise.
4.Become a book publisher - How about making money out of other peoples work. You publish peoples manuscripts, books and so on, and either make money by charging them for this service or you make money by selling the books yourself.
5.Be a book printer - How about making money by printing books for small publishing houses and new authors. You could maybe even offer an all in one service whereby you proofread, edit and print.
TOP TIPS FOR MAKING MONEY WITH BOOKS
1.Always create goals and targets and reach them. Its no good just wanting to sell books, ideally you need to know how many you need to sell to be profitable, so setting targets is essential to being profitable.
2.Know your market. Its no good trying to sell or buy anything in a market that you are unsure of, so make sure you carry out and conduct your research before jumping in at the deep end.
3.Be patient. Making money usually doesn't happen overnight, so be patient, plan and be prepared. Remember that nothing is certain or guaranteed so seize every opportunity that you can.
4.Dont take on too much - By this I mean stick to what you want to do with books, focus on it, make money with it and then move onto your next idea, for example don't try to be a book printer, publisher and seller all at once. You will probably end up losing more money than you make.
As you can see there are more than a few ways that you can make money with books, or by using books. Remember to be creative and focused, seize opportunities, and good luck with whatever you decide to do I wish you every success.
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Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
big seminar 14
Fox <b>News</b> Ratings | Chilean Mine Rescue | Chile - Cable <b>News</b> | Mediaite
Americans were gripped Tuesday night by images from the scene of the Chilean miner rescue. But whose images gripped them most? While CNN won during one hour, Fox News Channel, dominated prime time as usual, ahead of CNN, MSNBC and HLN.
<b>News</b> - Angelina Jolie to Critics: "Hold Judgment" Until You Have <b>...</b>
She fires back at reports that her directorial debut centers on a rape victim who falls for her captor.
White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons? | iLounge <b>News</b>
iLounge news discussing the White iPhone 4 delay due to mismatched Home buttons?. Find more iPhone news from leading independent iPod, iPhone, and iPad site.
big seminar 14
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